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FREEKONOMIST
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Coinbase earns $719 million in Q3, almost all of it from its own crypto holdings

Coinbase returned to profit in the third quarter, but $715 million of the $719 million came from gains on crypto it holds, and revenue fell 35% on the year.

Evento: 29 de octubre de 2026
Fuente primaria: 29 de octubre de 2026
Publicado aquí: 29 de octubre de 2026 a las 20:57 UTC
Leer: 2 min

Qué pasó

On 29 October the Coinbase exchange reported third-quarter results. Net income was $719 million, or $2.51 a share. Revenue was $1.22 billion, against $1.87 billion a year ago. Analysts expected a loss of 15 cents a share, per Zacks as cited by Decrypt.

Por qué te importa

The profit is almost all on paper: $715 million is gains on crypto Coinbase holds as an investment. Without it, adjusted net income was $78 million. Trading fees nearly halved on the year because the market is quiet.

Qué revisar y vigilar

Watch fourth-quarter trading revenue: through 25 October it was about $165 million. And watch prediction markets, which already bring in over $200 million a year. This is not investment advice.

What happened. Coinbase, the largest US crypto exchange, published its third-quarter 2026 results on 29 October after the market closed. Net income was $719 million, or $2.51 per diluted share. A year ago it was $433 million. According to Decrypt, this ends two loss-making quarters in a row.

Where the profit came from. From the 10-Q filing: gains on crypto Coinbase holds as an investment were $715 million. Adjusted net income, which strips out such gains, was just $78 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $333 million, against $801 million a year ago.

Revenue. Total revenue was $1.22 billion, against $1.87 billion a year ago, down 35%. Transaction revenue, meaning trading fees, was $590 million, against $1.05 billion. Decrypt writes that crypto volatility sank to multiyear lows. Subscription and services brought in $570 million, of which $307 million came from stablecoins.

What is growing. Coinbase's share of global crypto trading volume rose to 10.7%. Average USDC held in Coinbase products hit a record $22 billion. Paid Coinbase One subscribers were up 24% on the year. Prediction markets passed $200 million in annualized revenue.

What is shrinking. Users who trade at least once a month numbered 7.4 million, against 9.3 million a year ago. The company cut its 2026 adjusted expense guidance to $4.15 billion to $4.3 billion.

Our take. Without gains on its own crypto, Coinbase earns little right now: trading is slow, and stablecoins and new products carry revenue. If crypto falls, the same revaluation can work in reverse. This is not advice to buy or sell.

Hechos confirmados

  • Coinbase's third-quarter 2026 net income was $718.7 million, against $432.6 million a year ago. Diluted earnings were $2.51 a share.[2]
  • Gains on crypto assets held for investment were $715.0 million.[2]
  • Adjusted net income was $78 million and adjusted EBITDA was $333 million.[1]
  • Adjusted EBITDA a year ago was $800.7 million.[2]
  • Revenue was $1.216 billion, against $1.869 billion a year ago. Transaction revenue was $590.2 million, against $1.046 billion.[2]
  • Subscription and services revenue was $570.2 million, including $306.9 million of stablecoin revenue.[2]
  • Monthly transacting users were 7.4 million, against 9.3 million a year ago.[2]
  • Share of global crypto trading volume reached 10.7%, average USDC in Coinbase products hit a record $22 billion, and Coinbase One subscribers rose 24%.[1]
  • Analysts expected a loss of 15 cents a share (Zacks).[3]
  • Prediction markets passed $200 million in annualized revenue.[1][3]
  • Fourth-quarter transaction revenue through 25 October was about $165 million. 2026 adjusted expense guidance was cut to $4.15 billion to $4.3 billion.[3]

Implicaciones

  • ConfirmadoCoinbase's profit now depends heavily on the price of the crypto on its balance sheet.
  • ConfirmadoTrading income is falling along with market activity.
  • Nuestra lecturaIf crypto falls in the fourth quarter, the revaluation could turn into a loss.

Todavía no se sabe

  • How COIN shares react in Friday's regular session.
  • Whether trader activity returns in the fourth quarter.
  • Whether prediction markets keep growing this fast.

A quién afecta

USA, Worldwide. Coinbase users and anyone who follows crypto exchanges and COIN stock

Fuentes

  1. Coinbase Global, Inc. (press release): Coinbase Q3 2026 Earnings Show All-time-high Coinbase One Subscribers and Prediction Markets Surpassing $200 Million in Annualized Revenue 29 de octubre de 2026 · oficial
  2. Coinbase Global, Inc. (10-Q filing): Coinbase Global quarterly report (10-Q) for Q3 2026 29 de octubre de 2026 · oficial
  3. Decrypt: Coinbase Swings to $719 Million Q3 Profit on Crypto Gains 29 de octubre de 2026 · medios
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