Markets today, November 11, 2026: CoreWeave lifts AI stocks

Crypto. Bitcoin was $74,672.01 at 21:00 UTC, up 1.21% in 24 hours and down 7.24% in seven days. Yahoo Finance says it rose about 1% on a risk-on day for stocks. Ether was $2,082.11 (+1.10%, -14.13% on the week), Solana $85.02 (+2.03%) and XRP $1.0659 (+0.63%, -18.33% on the week). Fear & Greed is 29, Fear, down from 32. About $191.5 million of positions were liquidated in 24 hours, $121.9 million of them shorts. US bitcoin ETFs had net outflows of $95.0 million on Tuesday, November 10, and ether ETFs $1.3 million; Wednesday's figures were not in our data yet. Initia's INIT fell 49.95% to $0.14377, and no source we opened gives a cause. OKX and the NYSE owner set November 23 for stock tokens: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/okxice-tokenized-stock-venue-launch-november-23-coinbase-strategy-direxion-2026-11-11/ . Bitcoin price and liquidations: https://freekonomist.com/en/crypto/btc/ . What well-known traders think: https://freekonomist.com/en/crowd/ . Token unlock dates: https://freekonomist.com/en/unlocks/

Stocks. Reuters says, on preliminary data, the S&P 500 rose 1.29% to 7,617.84, the Nasdaq Composite 1.59% to 25,464.57 and the Dow 0.47% to 52,476.92. Yahoo Finance says the Nasdaq erased its post-election losses. CoreWeave rose more than 20% after it said it expects to turn profitable on an adjusted basis in the first half of 2028; it had raised its 2026 revenue outlook to $13.0 billion to $13.3 billion: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/coreweave-stock-q3-2026-earnings-2026-11-10/ . Nebius reports Thursday before the open: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/nbis-stock-jumps-coreweave-nebius-q3-2026-earnings-2026-11-11/ . Nvidia closed at $173.73, up 2.92%, and is still down about 12% in November. Sandisk, Micron and SK Hynix were each up more than 10% in Yahoo Finance's report. Tech was the best of the 11 S&P 500 sectors, and the VIX fell for a fourth straight session. On Tuesday Microsoft fell 3% after Anthropic launched Claude Sheets and Whiteboards, CNBC reported: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/microsoft-stock-falls-anthropic-claude-meetings-sheets-2026-11-11/ . The US bond market was shut for Veterans Day, so Treasuries had no close. Reuters says traders fully price at least a quarter-point Fed hike in December, with a 12.7% chance of a half-point move.

Commodities and currencies. Brent futures settled at $92.76, up 1.39%, and WTI at $86.53, up 0.57%, Reuters says. It ties the rise to Iran's security chief saying no enriched nuclear material would leave the country; Brent is still about 21% lower since the start of the month. Market sources cite API data showing US crude stocks up 9 million barrels; official data is due Thursday, delayed by the holiday. Saudi Arabia pumped the most oil since February, by its own figures: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/opec-momr-november-2026-saudi-output-10-56-million-bpd-october-2026-11-11/ . US gold futures settled 0.7% lower at $4,000.50; spot gold was $3,986.79, down 1.1%, at 18:51 UTC, an intraday figure: https://freekonomist.com/en/commodities/gold/ . In our data at 21:00 UTC EUR/USD was 1.1091 (-0.68%), GBP/USD 1.3275 (-0.53%) and USD/JPY 159.856 (+0.73%); Reuters had the dollar index up 0.64% at 102.86 in its midday report. The rupiah stayed near its record low: https://freekonomist.com/en/news/rupiah-dollar-rate-near-record-low-fed-hike-bets-2026-11-11/ . Live macro board: https://freekonomist.com/en/macro/

Fatos confirmados

• Reuters preliminary data: the S&P 500 rose 1.29% to 7,617.84, the Nasdaq Composite 1.59% to 25,464.57 and the Dow 0.47% to 52,476.92 on Wednesday, November 11.^[1]
• Yahoo Finance says the Nasdaq Composite added 1.6%, erasing its post-election losses.^[1]
• CoreWeave shares rose more than 20% after it said it expects to be profitable on an adjusted basis in the first half of 2028.^[1]
• CoreWeave raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $13.0 billion to $13.3 billion.^[7]
• Nvidia closed at $173.73, up 2.92%, and is down about 12% in November.^[1]
• Sandisk, Micron and SK Hynix were each up more than 10% in Yahoo Finance's report.^[1]
• The S&P 500 tech sector was the best of 11 sectors, and the VIX fell for a fourth straight session.^[1]
• The US stock market was open on Veterans Day; the US bond market was closed.^[1]
• Forex Factory lists a USD bank holiday on November 11.^[6]
• Traders fully price at least a 25 basis point Fed hike in December, with a 12.7% chance of 50 basis points, per CME FedWatch via Reuters.^[1]
• Brent futures settled up $1.27, or 1.39%, at $92.76; WTI rose 49 cents, or 0.57%, to $86.53.^[2]
• Reuters ties the oil rise to Iran's security chief saying Iran would not allow enriched nuclear material to leave the country; Brent is about 21% lower since the start of November.^[2]
• Market sources, citing API data, say US crude stocks rose by 9 million barrels; official data is due Thursday, delayed by the Veterans Day holiday.^[2]
• US December gold futures settled 0.7% lower at $4,000.50; spot gold was down 1.1% at $3,986.79 at 1:51 p.m. ET (18:51 UTC), an intraday figure.^[3]
• Reuters had the dollar index up 0.64% at 102.86 in its midday report.^[1]
• At 21:00 UTC EUR/USD was 1.1091 (-0.68%), GBP/USD 1.3275 (-0.53%) and USD/JPY 159.856 (+0.73%).^[5]
• Bitcoin was $74,672.01 at 21:00 UTC, up 1.21% in 24 hours and down 7.24% in seven days; Yahoo Finance says it gained about 1% as investors went risk-on.^[4][1]
• Ether was $2,082.11 (+1.10%, -14.13% in seven days), Solana $85.02 (+2.03%) and XRP $1.0659 (+0.63%, -18.33% in seven days).^[4]
• Fear & Greed was 29, Fear, down from 32.^[4]
• About $191.5 million of crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, $121.9 million of them shorts.^[4]
• US bitcoin ETFs had net outflows of $95.0 million and ether ETFs $1.3 million on Tuesday, November 10; Wednesday's data was not yet available.^[4]
• Initia's INIT fell 49.95% to $0.14377 in 24 hours.^[4]
• Nebius reports Q3 results on Thursday, November 12, before market open; its investor call is at 8:00 a.m. ET (13:00 UTC).^[8]
• On November 10 Microsoft shares fell 3% after Anthropic launched Claude Sheets and Whiteboards, CNBC reported.^[9]
• OKXICE, a venue run by OKX and the NYSE owner ICE, opens for stock tokens on November 23.^[10]
• Saudi Arabia told OPEC it pumped 10.563 million barrels a day in October, the most since February.^[11]
• The rupiah's JISDOR reference rate was Rp18,154 per dollar on November 11, against Rp18,059 a day earlier.^[12]
• Forex Factory lists UK GDP m/m (High impact, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.1%) on Thursday, November 12 at 07:00 UTC.^[6]
• Forex Factory lists US unemployment claims (Medium, forecast 194K, previous 189K) at 13:30 UTC and ECB President Lagarde's speech (Medium) at 19:30 UTC on November 12.^[6]

Implicações

• ConfirmadoUS stocks traded and US bond markets were closed on Veterans Day, so there was no Treasury close.
• ConfirmadoThe AI-stock rebound was tied to CoreWeave's results, as Reuters reports.
• Nossa leituraHot inflation and a likely December Fed hike remain the backdrop for stocks, gold and the dollar. This is our reading.
• Nossa leituraOne day of gains does not show the AI trade has turned for good. This is our reading.

Ainda não se sabe

• Closing figures for gold, since the Reuters number we opened is intraday
• Why INIT fell almost 50%
• Bitcoin ETF flows for Wednesday, November 11
• Final index closes, since Reuters data was preliminary

Quem é afetado

United States, Global. Anyone who follows stocks, oil, the dollar and crypto and wants one daily summary

Fontes

1. Yahoo Finance (with Reuters market reports): Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as chip stock rally rekindles AI trade 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
2. Reuters: Oil up 1% as Iran official says country will keep enriched nuclear material 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
3. Reuters: Gold falls as hot inflation figures, higher dollar weigh 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
4. Freekonomist: Bitcoin price, ETF flows and liquidations (data snapshot 21:00 UTC) 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
5. Freekonomist: Live macro board (FX pairs, 21:00 UTC) 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
6. Forex Factory: Economic calendar, this week 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
7. Freekonomist: CoreWeave stock Q3 2026 earnings 10 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
8. Freekonomist: NBIS stock jumps 11% after CoreWeave results, Nebius reports Nov 12 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
9. Freekonomist: Microsoft stock falls as Anthropic launches Claude Meetings and Sheets 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
10. Freekonomist: OKX and NYSE owner set Nov 23 launch for stock tokens 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
11. Freekonomist: Saudi Arabia pumps the most oil since February, OPEC report shows 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia
12. Freekonomist: Rupiah to dollar rate near record low as Fed hike bets grow 11 de novembro de 2026 · mídia