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What is going on with crypto, currencies, oil and stocks, why it matters and what to watch. In plain words, on live data.
How to read it: Inflation is above target, so the Fed is in no hurry to cut. The market expects no change at the next meeting. The dollar firmed over the month, a headwind for BTC and gold. These are typical links, not a rule: the market can react differently.
Just the essentials: a short summary, prices and what to do next.Numbers with an explanation of what they mean and why they matter.Everything, plus a table with exact numbers and sources.
The day change is from the previous session close; for crypto, over 24 hours.
| Asset | Price | Day | 7d | 30d | 1y | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $81,939.50 | +0.97% | +0.11% | +0.85% | −24.58% | Binance · |
| ETH | $2,394.29 | +0.76% | −2.16% | −9.06% | −39.88% | Binance · |
| SOL | $104.16 | +2.00% | −1.51% | −6.21% | −44.55% | Binance · |
| S&P 500 | 7,717.28 | +0.76% | −1.15% | +0.87% | +15.81% | Yahoo Finance · |
| Nasdaq 100 | 29,714.80 | +1.81% | −3.10% | +0.24% | +19.73% | Yahoo Finance · |
| Gold | $4,161.40 | −0.47% | −0.70% | −5.95% | −1.23% | Yahoo Finance · |
| Brent | $108.55 | −1.19% | +1.78% | +4.51% | +77.11% | Yahoo Finance · |
| EUR/USD | 1.1210 | −0.30% | +0.05% | −2.32% | −4.18% | Yahoo Finance · |
| DXY | 101.98 | +0.14% | −0.58% | +1.76% | +3.61% | Yahoo Finance · |
| US10Y | 5.13% | +0.65% | −2.08% | +2.66% | +28.05% | Yahoo Finance · |
| NVDA | $219.21 | +2.37% | −3.14% | −1.38% | +19.64% | Yahoo Finance · |
| TSLA | $368.17 | +3.79% | −2.61% | +1.07% | −16.19% | Yahoo Finance · |
Flip through the steps. Every number is live data; the source is in each section.
Prices rose 3.7% over the year against a Fed target of about 2%. And faster than a month earlier.
Rate futures: hold 82%, hike 18%, cut 0%. This is the market's estimate, not a Fed decision.
The world's key rate. The higher it is, the pricier money gets and the harsher risk assets are valued. Over 30 days: +2.7%.
The dollar index over 30 days: +1.8%. A strong dollar usually weighs on BTC, gold and other currencies.
This is how BTC and gold moved over 30 days. There are always several causes: see the factor balance on each asset page.
Over 24 hours +0.97%, over a week +0.11%. Now let us see how much leverage sits in this move.
A normal level: the crowd is not lopsided.
That much leveraged positioning was force-closed. Longs: 52%. Buyers got hit harder.
Fear and greed index: greed. Yesterday: 53.
Oil on the day −1.19%, over 30 days +4.5%. Oil feeds inflation, and so the Fed rate.
Near deliveries cost more than later ones: oil is needed now and the market sees tightness.
Week on week −8.6M. Rising stocks usually weigh on price, falling stocks support it.
That much oil passed through the strait on average in 2024 (EIA). Bypass pipelines can carry only about 2.6M, so any threat here shows up in the price at once.
Bitcoin, ether and alts. Leverage, ETFs and on-chain.
Currencies, central bank rates and live sessions.
Oil, gold, gas. Chokepoint map and inventories.
Indices and tech giants. Earnings and revenue.
Describe the idea, set the rules and characters, and the game builds itself without code. US only, 18+ for now.
Galaxy owners will be able to hold and send a digital dollar in the wallet. It is an announcement for now, US only.
Since 10 April the EES runs at every external Schengen border: it records your passport, entry, exit and biometrics.
Sources: MarketWatch, BBC Business, Decrypt, Cointelegraph. Headlines link to the outlets. Updated
ForexFactory calendar, high-impact events. Times shown in your time zone.
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