Average temperature
of the room.
What 32 of the most visible traders and investors on X think, and what the market actually does meanwhile.
Whole market
LIVE checked
Most expect a rise
Leaders expect a rise, the market is flat so far · gap 37°
What do you think? Drag the dot along the scale: one vote a day.
4 of 6 leaders expect a riseAbove the scale is the leaders' average vote: from −100° (all expect a fall) to +100° (all expect a rise). Below is the market itself: how far the price went over the same 72 hours compared with its usual move.
View vs market
Tap an asset: price, chart and what moves it.
Leaders expect a rise, the market is flat so far · gap 21°
What do you think? Drag the dot along the scale: one vote a day.
Leaders expect a rise, the market is flat so far · gap 115°
What do you think? Drag the dot along the scale: one vote a day.
Leaders expect a rise, the market is flat so far · gap 96°
What do you think? Drag the dot along the scale: one vote a day.
You vs the market and the leaders
Each locked vote is checked 24 hours later: did it match the price move, and what did the leaders and readers think at the same moment.
Did the leaders get it right
Oct 19: the leaders' view matched the market move on 0 of 1 assets.
View: the average of everyone who posted that UTC day (+100 all expect a rise, −100 all expect a fall). Market: the price change from 00:00 to 24:00 UTC that day.
Matches by day
Bar: the share of assets where the leaders' view matched the market. Green: half or more.
Who is right more often
Win rate: how often the view matched the price move over the next 24 hours. The percentage shows from 5 checked calls.
RRekt Capital ✓@rektcapital40%5 / 62
MMichaël van de Poppe ✓@CryptoMichNL38%8 / 11·
PPeter Schiff ✓@PeterSchifftoo few (3)3 / 4·
KKaleo ✓@CryptoKaleotoo few (3)3 / 4·
CCrediBULL Crypto ✓@CredibleCryptotoo few (3)3 / 3·
DDaan Crypto Trades ✓@DaanCryptotoo few (3)3 / 4·
SScott Melker ✓@scottmelkertoo few (2)2 / 2—·
KKi Young Ju ✓@ki_young_jutoo few (2)2 / 2—·
TThe Kobeissi Letter ✓@KobeissiLettertoo few (1)1 / 1—·
MMichael Saylor ✓@saylortoo few (0)0 / 0—·
CCathie Wood ✓@CathieDWoodtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
RRay Dalio ✓@RayDaliotoo few (0)0 / 0—·
JJim Cramer ✓@jimcramertoo few (0)0 / 0—·
AAnthony Pompliano ✓@APomplianotoo few (0)0 / 0—·
PPlanB ✓@100trillionUSDtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
MMichael Burry ✓@michaeljburrytoo few (0)0 / 0—·
MMMCrypto ✓@MMCryptotoo few (0)0 / 0—·
RRaoul Pal ✓@RaoulGMItoo few (0)0 / 0—·
PPeter Brandt ✓@PeterLBrandttoo few (0)0 / 0—·
LLyn Alden ✓@LynAldenContacttoo few (0)0 / 0—·
MMohamed El-Erian ✓@elerianmtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
Iil Capo Of Crypto ✓@CryptoCapo_too few (0)0 / 0—·
PPentoshi ✓@Pentosh1too few (0)0 / 0—·
AArthur Hayes ✓@CryptoHayestoo few (0)0 / 0—·
JJim Bianco ✓@biancoresearchtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
MMurad ✓@MustStopMuradtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
LLuke Gromen ✓@LukeGromentoo few (0)0 / 0—·
HHsaka ✓@HsakaTradestoo few (0)0 / 0—·
MMike Novogratz ✓@novogratztoo few (0)0 / 0—·
AAlfonso Peccatiello ✓@MacroAlftoo few (0)0 / 0—·
DDanielle DiMartino Booth ✓@DiMartinoBoothtoo few (0)0 / 0—·
TTavi Costa ✓@TaviCostatoo few (0)0 / 0—Fresh calls from X
- RRekt CapitalBTC
#BTC Having Weekly Closed below the ~$82200 level, Bitcoin has positioned itself for a post-breakdown bearish retest If Bitcoin turns ~$82200 into new resistance, price would drop lower within the
· X ↗ - PPeter SchiffBrent
Oil is $110, up another 6% this morning. We are still early in a major breakout in the price of oil that will substantially raise the cost of living. Plus, it's not just energy. The price of all every
· X ↗ - MMichaël van de PoppeBTC
The picture on #Bitcoin remains unchanged. I'm remaining positive, as this is a relatively shallow correction on the markets. The recent high was $87,000, and we're currently trading at $81,600. Th
· X ↗ - MMichaël van de PoppeBTC
The main thesis remains the same. Just having a correction here, this week, where we'll find a bottom somewhere in this week / next week on #Altcoins, #Bitcoin and the indices. After that; we'll rot
· X ↗ - KKaleoBTC
#Bitcoin / $BTC I still believe it's worth having cash sitting on the sidelines to max bid mid / late November. BTC has bottomed shortly after midterms (11/3) the last two bear markets. Strategy p
· X ↗ - RRekt CapitalBTC
#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below ~$82200 Technically, this now positions price for a bearish retest of this level into new resistance Bitcoin would need to reclaim this level on the lower time
· X ↗
How we count: arithmetic only
- We take the public posts of the accounts listed below. Replies and reposts do not count.
- A post counts only if the author names an asset and says where they think it goes: bullish, I'm long, breakout, bottom is in or bearish, I'm short, breakdown, top is in. News (BREAKING), other people's views ("analysts expect"), ratios of two assets, questions and "what ifs" do not count, "not bullish" reads the other way. Tagging is automatic by words, with no AI and no manual edits, so it is sometimes wrong: every post can be opened and checked.
- One person = one vote per asset per day. If they posted both ways that day, the balance counts. A tie does not count.
- Gauge: the arithmetic mean of the latest votes over 72 hours, from −100 (all expect a fall) to +100 (all expect a rise). Above +20 is BULLISH, below −20 BEARISH, in between NEUTRAL.
- The market on the same scale: the price change over the same 72 hours divided by the usual 72-hour move of that asset (from daily volatility over 4 months). ±100° means a move twice the usual one, so bitcoin and the dollar fit on one scale.
- Win rate: every call is checked 24 hours after the post. Price moved its way is a hit, against it is a miss. A move under 0.1% does not count. We show the percentage from 5 checked calls.
Posts: X, via twitterapi.io. Prices: Binance, Yahoo Finance. · updated
We do not advise anyone and do not promote anyone. We only show the numbers: raw, clean data. Numbers do not lie, unlike people.
The views belong to their authors; we quote their public posts with a link to the original and are not affiliated with these people. A past win rate does not guarantee future hits. This is not financial advice.