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FREEKONOMIST
RANDOM BENCHMARK · NOT A PERSON

Bingo the Monkey

Bingo reads no charts, no news and no Telegram. Every day at 00:00 UTC Bingo flips a coin: bitcoin up or down. We count these calls exactly like the bloggers' calls: $100 on each, out of a starting $1,000, against simply holding bitcoin.

If a blogger cannot beat the monkey, luck is behind their calls, not skill.

The monkey against the bloggers

21 of 50 are right less often than a coin

Everyone's win rate follows one rule: a call is checked 24 hours later. The monkey is at 53%. Tap a face to open the blogger's page.

4 more are exactly level with the monkey.

By money: for 22 of the 50 bloggers Perpetuas counts, the follower ended with less than the monkey's follower ($1,108). Each blogger has their own period and number of calls, so this is a rough comparison; the win rate is the exact one.

If you followed the monkey

A coin against bitcoin

Every day $100 on the flip, out after 24 hours, no leverage, before fees. For comparison the same $1,000 in bitcoin bought on November 1, 2023 and held.

On the monkey: 1098 flips$1,108+11% from $1,000
Simply buy BTC and hold$2,218+122% holding BTC made $1,110 more
Your $1,000 on the monkey and in bitcoinon the monkeyBTCstart $1,0002023-112026-11
Flips

The last two weeks

Every flip, what bitcoin did that day and what happened to the $100.

  1. November 2, 2026Bingo: up · BTC −1.96%✗−$1.96
  2. November 1, 2026Bingo: up · BTC +1.00%✓+$1.00
  3. October 31, 2026Bingo: up · BTC +0.28%✓+$0.28
  4. October 30, 2026Bingo: down · BTC −0.80%✓+$0.80
  5. October 29, 2026Bingo: down · BTC −4.12%✓+$4.12
  6. October 28, 2026Bingo: down · BTC +0.54%✗−$0.54
  7. October 27, 2026Bingo: down · BTC +0.95%✗−$0.95
  8. October 26, 2026Bingo: down · BTC 0.00%✓$0.00
  9. October 25, 2026Bingo: up · BTC −0.91%✗−$0.91
  10. October 24, 2026Bingo: down · BTC −0.37%✓+$0.37
  11. October 23, 2026Bingo: down · BTC −0.28%✓+$0.28
  12. October 22, 2026Bingo: down · BTC −3.18%✓+$3.18
  13. October 21, 2026Bingo: up · BTC +1.28%✓+$1.28
  14. October 20, 2026Bingo: down · BTC +1.33%✗−$1.33
No tricks

Check the coin yourself

The flip for any day is fixed in advance by a formula. We cannot tweak it, and you can recompute it.

  1. Take the text bingo:2026-11-03 (the UTC date you want).
  2. Compute its SHA-256 with any hash calculator.
  3. First hex digit even (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, a, c, e): up. Odd: down.
  4. The result: the Binance BTCUSDT daily candle, open against close.

We chose the formula before the first count and never changed it. The calculation is open: ops/monkey.py.

FAQ

Quick answers

What is Bingo the Monkey?

It is not a person or a blogger but a random benchmark. Every day at 00:00 UTC Bingo flips a coin: bitcoin up or down. We put $100 on each such call for 24 hours, the same as on the bloggers' calls. If a blogger is right no more often than Bingo, their calls are worth no more than a coin.

Why is the coin not exactly at 50%?

The coin is fair, but over 1098 flips chance gives a bit more or less than half. Bingo is at 53% now. The more flips, the closer it gets to 50%.

How can I check the coin was not rigged?

Every day's flip is fixed in advance by a formula: SHA-256 of the text "bingo:YYYY-MM-DD". If the first hex digit is even (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, a, c, e), Bingo says up, otherwise down. Anyone can compute it, and past flips never change when the site is rebuilt.

How many bloggers do worse than the monkey?

21 of 50 ranked bloggers are right less often than Bingo. For 22 of the 50 bloggers whose money Perpetuas counts, the follower ended with less than the monkey's follower (each over their own period and number of calls).

Does your blogger beat the monkey?

Open their page and compare their win rate with the coin.

Find your blogger
The platform has no opinion of its own.

We do not advise anyone and do not promote anyone. We only show the numbers: raw, clean data. Numbers do not lie, unlike people.

The views belong to their authors; we quote their public posts with a link to the original and are not affiliated with these people. A past win rate does not guarantee future hits. This is not financial advice.

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