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FREEKONOMIST
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Macro

Jobs.

A strong labour market lets the Fed hold rates, a weak one brings cuts closer.

InflationThe Fed and ratesLiquidityYieldsJobsGrowth
Nonfarm payrolls
+29K

September 2026 · prev +133K

Jobs added over the month.

1,01069437963-253Nov 1Sep 1

FRED · PAYEMS · original source BLS

Unemployment rate
4.20%

September 2026 · prev 4.10%

The share of job seekers without work.

6.90%5.97%5.05%4.13%3.20%Nov 1Sep 1

FRED · UNRATE · original source BLS

Jobless claims
199K

Oct 10 · prev 198K

New weekly unemployment claims. The fastest labour-market signal.

263244224204185May 31Oct 10

FRED · ICSA · original source U.S. Dept. of Labor

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